Dutch speed skating coach outlines possible scenarios for upcoming semifinals, emphasizing the challenges posed by the American team and potential lineup changes.
Schaatsen.nl, Netherlands
Team coach Ritsma discussed a realistic potential outcome where the Dutch team could finish fourth in the preliminary rounds, likely leading to a semifinal race against the favored American team. He acknowledged that if the American team performs as expected, the Dutch team would likely lose that semifinal and compete for the bronze medal instead. However, he suggested that introducing a fresh skater in that bronze medal race might create the necessary edge to secure a podium finish.
Ritsma also noted that if the American team were to make mistakes, the Dutch team’s specific lineup would matter less, as they would then benefit regardless of formation. While this analysis might sound like acceptance of a probable loss to the American team, it is backed by complex statistical models developed with the help of data scientist Sander Van Ginkel. These models confirm many of the coach’s assumptions.
The decision to change skaters during the races remains undecided and depends on the physical condition of key skaters like Chris, particularly whether he can handle a strong start compared to other candidates such as Stijn. Based on training observations, it appears likely that Huizinga or Van de Bunt will take the lead position, with Bosker at the rear potentially handling the start, and Bergsma occupying the middle spot.
For the women’s team, the situation is more straightforward. Skaters Joy Beune, Antoinette Rijpma-de Jong, and Marijke Groenewoud have demonstrated consistent and synchronized performances in Milan. They are expected to compete in up to three races scheduled on Saturday and Tuesday.
